NZD forecast update: Pausing for breath
The upward trend in NZD/USD stalled at the end of the first half of the year, with the currency reversing direction through July and raising a question-mark about whether the previous trend will resume. The chart below highlights this earlier upward trajectory (red line) and its subsequent loss of steam. Looking beyond initial optimism, the NZD has effectively been confined to a trading range between 0.5850 and 0.6120 since mid-April.
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NZD Corporate FX Update
The upward trend in NZD/USD in the first half of the year – driven by broad-based USD selling pressure – has been arrested, with some retracement through July so far.
The near-term outlook for FX markets is clouded by uncertainty on where US policy lands on tariffs. The previous 9-July deadline for implementing higher tariffs was delayed until 1-August. Not forgetting that early April was the original date for much higher tariffs, it wouldn’t surprise if further delays ensued.
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